APOEL vs Aris Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
8º
1º
60
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ANO
0 - 2
APO
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
APO
1 - 1
PAP
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
APO
3 - 2
DJU
34%
28%
39%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
DJU
3 - 0
APO
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
KYZ
0 - 0
APO
28%
25%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ARI
5 - 0
OLY
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 1
AEL
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARI
0 - 2
ANA
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AKR
4 - 1
ARI
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ARI
5 - 0
XYL
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |