Apeldoorn CSV vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SPA
4 - 2
APE
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
APE
1 - 1
DFS
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
APE
1 - 1
URK
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SDC
4 - 2
APE
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
APE
2 - 2
HZV
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 2
AJA
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
STA
0 - 1
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 0
SDC
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
NSC
0 - 0
EXC
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 1
BER
55%
21%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |