Apeldoorn CSV vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LIS
1 - 2
APE
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2010 |
APE
0 - 1
HHC
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FLE
1 - 1
APE
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
APE
2 - 2
RIJ
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
IJS
2 - 0
APE
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ARC
0 - 3
HER
11%
18%
71%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ARC
2 - 4
HAR
27%
24%
50%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 1
ARC
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ARC
1 - 2
GEN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
KAT
2 - 0
ARC
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |