Goiano 1 Etapas Finales. Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Aparecidense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
APA
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
APA
2 - 1
JAT
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JAT
0 - 3
APA
18%
20%
62%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
GOI
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
APA
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
APA
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
ANA
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ANA
0 - 3
VIL
22%
27%
52%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
JAR
2 - 0
VIL
11%
19%
70%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
APA
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |