Aparecidense vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 0
APA
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
APA
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
APA
1 - 0
VOL
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 3
APA
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
APA
1 - 3
BOT
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 3
CRA
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
GOI
78%
16%
6%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
GOI
1 - 2
VIL
14%
23%
63%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
GOI
2 - 3
ANA
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
GOI
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |