Clausura Chile Round 4

Antofagasta vs U. Católica analysis

Antofagasta U. Católica
64 ELO 77
-9.3% Tilt -5.6%
1949º General ELO ranking 1083º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.5%
Antofagasta
27.1%
Draw
50.4%
U. Católica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
Antofagasta
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
50.4%
Win probability
U. Católica
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Antofagasta
-9%
-2%
U. Católica

ELO progression

Antofagasta
U. Católica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Antofagasta
Antofagasta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jul. 2012
UCO
Univ. Concepción
0 - 2
Antofagasta
ANT
72%
19%
10%
63 77 14 0
14 Jul. 2012
IQU
Deportes Iquique
2 - 1
Antofagasta
ANT
75%
17%
8%
63 77 14 0
20 May. 2012
ANT
Antofagasta
0 - 1
Rangers Talca
CSD
50%
26%
24%
64 61 3 -1
13 May. 2012
COL
Colo-Colo
1 - 0
Antofagasta
ANT
78%
15%
7%
64 77 13 0
06 May. 2012
ANT
Antofagasta
1 - 1
Unión Española
UNI
20%
25%
55%
64 77 13 0

Matches

U. Católica
U. Católica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2012
USF
Unión San Felipe
0 - 1
U. Católica
UCO
35%
28%
37%
76 71 5 0
15 Jul. 2012
UCO
U. Católica
3 - 2
Santiago Wanderers
SWA
46%
25%
30%
76 77 1 0
09 Jul. 2012
UCO
U. Católica
0 - 1
Palestino
PAL
58%
23%
19%
76 74 2 0
26 May. 2012
UCO
U. Católica
1 - 1
Unión Española
UNI
48%
23%
28%
76 78 2 0
24 May. 2012
UNI
Unión Española
3 - 0
U. Católica
UCO
58%
21%
20%
77 77 0 -1