Antofagasta vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
UCH
1 - 3
ANT
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
PAL
5 - 1
ANT
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ANT
3 - 4
ULC
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 1
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ACS
1 - 1
ANT
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
NUB
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ACS
3 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |