Ankaragücü vs Karsiyaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ankaragücü
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ANK
3 - 0
ANK
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
KAY
3 - 0
ANK
64%
23%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ANK
3 - 0
GAL
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GAZ
1 - 3
ANK
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ANK
1 - 2
GEN
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Karsiyaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
KAR
0 - 0
ORD
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
KAR
2 - 0
KAR
40%
29%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
KAR
2 - 2
KON
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
DAR
1 - 5
KAR
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
KAR
1 - 2
KAR
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |