Angri vs Lupa Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
49.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
17º
12º
47
2º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 47% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 53% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RMS
1 - 3
ACC
69%
17%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACC
2 - 1
CSO
26%
21%
52%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SSC
0 - 0
ACC
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACC
0 - 2
HYR
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
PAG
3 - 2
ACC
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Lupa Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LRO
1 - 0
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
LRO
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LRO
3 - 0
AUR
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
LRO
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
LRO
1 - 0
VIS
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |