Angra dos Reis vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angra dos Reis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
ANG
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
IFC
1 - 1
ANG
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 4
SEC
34%
25%
40%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
TIG
5 - 1
ANG
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
POR
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
SEC
3 - 2
SER
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
SER
4 - 0
CER
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
SER
2 - 2
FRI
21%
23%
57%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
SER
58%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |