Angola vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 0
ZAM
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 1
CMR
21%
27%
53%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GNB
0 - 2
ANG
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 0
UGA
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 2
COD
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NAM
4 - 0
DJI
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
DJI
0 - 4
NAM
23%
22%
55%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
NAM
0 - 0
LSO
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NAM
1 - 0
GAM
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 1
NAM
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |