Angola vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2014 |
IRN
1 - 1
AGO
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
AGO
2 - 0
MAR
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 1
AGO
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AGO
4 - 1
LBR
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
AGO
0 - 1
MOZ
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 1
GHA
16%
24%
60%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 1
COG
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
LBY
2 - 0
ETH
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 1
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 0
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |