Ancona vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
AVE
0 - 0
ANC
31%
28%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 1
CAT
86%
11%
4%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
JUS
1 - 1
ANC
31%
27%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 0
GUA
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
CAS
1 - 3
ANC
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 1
NOC
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
GIU
2 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
BEN
31%
27%
43%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
ASC
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |