Anadia vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+173%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 2
ANA
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 1
CES
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 0
ESP
23%
25%
53%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 3
ANA
18%
21%
62%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
ANA
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 2
SAO
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ACV
5 - 1
LUS
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 1
TOC
49%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
COI
1 - 0
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 0
IDE
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |