AGB vs Hoofddorp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-18%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
| Relegation playoffs | 0% | 0% |
| Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
AGB
SVH
JOS
LSV
FWO
EDO
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO AGB | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
AGB
2 - 0
DEM
44%
27%
28%
|
130 | 104 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LEG
2 - 1
AGB
46%
27%
27%
|
130 | 124 | -6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AGB
4 - 2
ASS
44%
27%
28%
|
129 | 111 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FWO
2 - 2
AGB
46%
27%
27%
|
129 | 118 | -11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
JOS
3 - 0
AGB
47%
27%
26%
|
130 | 163 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Hoofddorp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SVH | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SVH
0 - 3
RKV
44%
27%
28%
|
131 | 108 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
EDO
2 - 1
SVH
46%
27%
27%
|
132 | 120 | -12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SVH
2 - 0
AFC
44%
27%
28%
|
131 | 123 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SVH
2 - 1
HIL
44%
27%
28%
|
130 | 119 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LSV
3 - 0
SVH
46%
27%
27%
|
131 | 129 | -2 | -1 |