Paulista B Tercera Fase. Jor. 1

Amparo vs Independente SP analysis

Amparo Independente SP
36 ELO 37
-8% Tilt -10%
28573º General ELO ranking 22493º
734º Country ELO ranking 551º
ELO win probability
35.1%
Amparo
23.9%
Draw
41.1%
Independente SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
Amparo
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41.1%
Win probability
Independente SP
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Amparo
-22%
-38%
Independente SP

ELO progression

Amparo
Independente SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Amparo
Amparo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2019
AAI
Itararé
1 - 1
Amparo
AMP
35%
24%
42%
34 31 3 0
03 Aug. 2019
AMP
Amparo
0 - 0
XV de Novembro
ECN
46%
23%
31%
34 33 1 0
27 Jul. 2019
MFC
Mauá
2 - 1
Amparo
AMP
25%
23%
53%
35 26 9 -1
20 Jul. 2019
AMP
Amparo
0 - 0
Mauá
MFC
62%
20%
19%
35 25 10 0
14 Jul. 2019
ECN
XV de Novembro
0 - 2
Amparo
AMP
44%
23%
33%
34 34 0 +1

Matches

Independente SP
Independente SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2019
FRA
Francana
0 - 1
Independente SP
IND
42%
27%
30%
38 36 2 0
03 Aug. 2019
IND
Independente SP
3 - 1
Nova Andradina
NOV
59%
20%
20%
37 28 9 +1
27 Jul. 2019
IND
Independente SP
0 - 0
Assisense
ASS
67%
20%
14%
37 25 12 0
22 Jul. 2019
ASS
Assisense
0 - 0
Independente SP
IND
20%
25%
55%
38 24 14 -1
14 Jul. 2019
NOV
Nova Andradina
0 - 0
Independente SP
IND
27%
23%
50%
38 29 9 0
X