Ammanford AFC vs Swansea University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 2
YAF
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 2
BAR
10%
19%
71%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AAF
5 - 0
LLA
29%
20%
51%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 0
AAF
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
AAF
1 - 3
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -3 |
Matches
Swansea University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 3
SUF
32%
22%
46%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
GOY
2 - 1
SUF
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
SUF
3 - 3
CAM
29%
22%
50%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 3
BRI
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
TAF
4 - 2
SUF
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |