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FAW Championship Gales. Sur, Matchday 24

Ammanford AFC vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis

Ammanford AFC Llanelli Town AFC
46 ELO 11
29% Tilt 69%
956º General ELO ranking 3691º
47º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
54.1%
Ammanford AFC
19.3%
Draw
26.6%
Llanelli Town AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
Ammanford AFC
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
26.6%
Win probability
Llanelli Town AFC
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ammanford AFC
+43%
+54%
Llanelli Town AFC

Points and table prediction

Ammanford AFC
Their league position
Llanelli Town AFC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
13º
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Swansea University
56
65
48%
Haverfordwest County AFC
55
65
44%
Briton Ferry
47
58
86%
Cambrian & Clydach
40
48
17%
STM Sports
39
51
17%
Ammanford AFC
37
46
22%
Llanelli Town AFC
37
43
20%
Goytre United
36
43
17%
Pontypridd Town
34
41
18%
Afan Lido
10º
34
41
10º
18%
Llantwit Major
11º
27
36
11º
31%
Undy Athletic
12º
23
35
12º
15%
Cwmbran Celtic
13º
22
33
13º
19%
Taffs Well
14º
21
27
14º
42%
Cwmamman United
15º
17
24
15º
40%
Caerau Ely
16º
7
15
16º
85%
Expected probabilities
Ammanford AFC
Llanelli Town AFC
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
Ammanford AFC
AAF
Haverfordwest County AFC
HAV
Swansea University
SUF
Pontypridd Town
PON
Afan Lido
LID
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ammanford AFC
Ammanford AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO AAF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2020
AAF
Ammanford AFC
0 - 4
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
54%
25%
21%
793 471 322 -6
18 Jan. 2020
CAE
Caerau Ely
0 - 2
Ammanford AFC
AAF
36%
27%
38%
792 204 -588 +1
11 Jan. 2020
AAF
Ammanford AFC
2 - 1
Undy Athletic
UND
57%
23%
19%
791 186 605 +1
27 Dec. 2019
AAF
Ammanford AFC
3 - 1
Cwmamman United
CWU
57%
23%
19%
790 190 600 +1
21 Dec. 2019
SUF
Swansea University
3 - 2
Ammanford AFC
AAF
31%
26%
43%
792 214 -578 -2

Matches

Llanelli Town AFC
Llanelli Town AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO LLA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2020
CWM
Cwmbran Celtic
4 - 5
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
45%
27%
28%
165 189 24 +1
17 Jan. 2020
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
2 - 1
STM Sports
STM
41%
28%
31%
164 230 -66 +1
11 Jan. 2020
CAM
Cambrian & Clydach
1 - 0
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
49%
26%
25%
165 294 129 -1
03 Jan. 2020
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
0 - 1
Haverfordwest County AFC
HAV
39%
28%
33%
166 351 -185 -1
27 Dec. 2019
HAV
Haverfordwest County AFC
4 - 1
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
51%
26%
23%
168 349 181 -2