Ammanford AFC vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.9%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
84.9%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.6%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.7%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
2.3%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
8.4%
0-6
3%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.3%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CAE
0 - 2
AAF
20%
19%
61%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
AAF
2 - 1
UND
41%
21%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2019 |
AAF
3 - 1
CWU
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
SUF
3 - 2
AAF
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
AAF
1 - 3
BRI
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
CAE
0 - 3
ABE
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAE
20%
22%
59%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 2
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |