Americano vs Taguatinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
DES
1 - 2
AME
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
AME
0 - 1
CAT
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1986 |
AME
3 - 0
CON
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
GOY
0 - 1
AME
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
PAL
0 - 0
AME
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +4 |
Matches
Taguatinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
TAG
3 - 1
CON
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
TAG
2 - 1
CEN
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
TAG
3 - 0
FLU
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
4 - 3
TAG
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
CRB
2 - 1
TAG
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |