Americano vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 1
AME
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
GOY
37%
27%
35%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
PET
1 - 1
AME
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
AME
2 - 0
SCR
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
AUD
1 - 2
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
POR
3 - 0
AUD
45%
28%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
31%
27%
43%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
CER
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 1
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
GOY
39%
28%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |