Americano vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 0
AME
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
CMA
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
RES
2 - 0
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
NOV
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
DUQ
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
AUD
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CMA
2 - 0
OLA
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
SAO
15%
24%
62%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
OLA
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |