Americano vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BON
2 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
OLA
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
BOT
12%
21%
67%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DUQ
3 - 1
AME
52%
23%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 3
MAC
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 1
FRI
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
2 - 3
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
DUQ
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 3
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | -1 |