Americano vs Grêmio Mangaratibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 1
AME
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
SAO
65%
19%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 3
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AME
3 - 1
QUE
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
OLA
1 - 0
AME
52%
26%
22%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Mangaratibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 3
SCR
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AUD
4 - 2
GRE
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
PET
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 4
GOY
22%
25%
53%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |