Americano vs Gonçalense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FRI
0 - 2
AME
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
VOL
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 0
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
AME
1 - 2
SAM
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
OLA
2 - 1
AME
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gonçalense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GON
2 - 1
MAC
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
OLA
1 - 2
GON
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
GON
0 - 1
AME
31%
28%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
CAB
1 - 2
GON
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
FRI
0 - 0
GON
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |