Americano vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
AVA
0 - 1
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
CAX
3 - 0
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
72%
17%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
AME
3 - 2
SAO
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
LON
1 - 0
AME
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
4 - 2
PAU
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 2
BOT
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
3 - 1
LON
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
XVD
1 - 2
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 0
AME
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |