Americano vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
FLU
0 - 0
AME
87%
9%
4%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
AME
0 - 1
GOY
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
AME
0 - 2
ATM
10%
17%
73%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
SAN
3 - 0
AME
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
GUA
6 - 0
AME
81%
12%
7%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
POR
3 - 0
BAN
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BAN
3 - 2
XVD
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
REM
3 - 0
BAN
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
FAS
2 - 0
BAN
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |