América vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MON
3 - 2
AME
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
ATS
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
AME
5 - 2
LEO
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
AME
1 - 3
PUM
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 4
AME
14%
21%
65%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 2
ATS
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 3
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
LEV
15%
20%
65%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 4
TOL
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 4
ATS
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |