América vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 4
AME
14%
21%
65%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
PAC
3 - 0
AME
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
PAC
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
AME
3 - 2
PUE
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 1
AME
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2022 |
CHI
4 - 1
PUM
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
SES
3 - 0
PUM
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PUM
2 - 0
PAC
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
PUM
2 - 2
SES
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 1
PUM
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |