América vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
AME
3 - 1
SES
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TIG
4 - 1
AME
44%
25%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
SES
2 - 2
AME
37%
26%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AME
3 - 3
CAZ
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
VER
1 - 1
AME
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
QRO
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 3
LEO
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TIJ
1 - 1
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
MOR
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |