América vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
AME
3 - 1
PEÑ
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
AME
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
AME
3 - 2
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 2
AME
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CAZ
1 - 1
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
IRA
2 - 1
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
MON
3 - 0
EST
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
VER
1 - 1
MON
35%
26%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MON
0 - 0
CAZ
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MON
0 - 1
PUM
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |