CONCACAF Champions Cup Final

Global 3-1

América vs Defence Force analysis

América Defence Force
74 ELO 61
-4.7% Tilt -2.5%
263º General ELO ranking 2320º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
74.7%
América
15.1%
Draw
10.2%
Defence Force

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
América
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.2%
Win probability
Defence Force
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América
+16%
+24%
Defence Force

ELO progression

América
Defence Force
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América
América
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 1987
DEF
Defence Force
1 - 1
América
AME
34%
23%
43%
74 62 12 0
20 Oct. 1985
AME
América
0 - 1
CD Olimpia
OLI
64%
19%
18%
74 70 4 0
06 Oct. 1985
OLI
CD Olimpia
2 - 2
América
AME
50%
22%
28%
74 70 4 0
26 Jan. 1982
AME
América
1 - 2
Boca Juniors
BOC
3%
27%
71%
74 84 10 0
18 Jan. 1978
AME
América
0 - 0
SV Robinhood
RHO
84%
10%
6%
75 44 31 -1

Matches

Defence Force
Defence Force
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 1987
DEF
Defence Force
1 - 1
América
AME
34%
23%
43%
62 74 12 0
26 Jan. 1986
OLI
CD Olimpia
1 - 0
Defence Force
DEF
67%
17%
15%
62 69 7 0
19 Jan. 1986
DEF
Defence Force
2 - 0
CD Olimpia
OLI
42%
23%
35%
60 71 11 +2