América vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
AME
0 - 1
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
AME
2 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 3
AME
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AME
2 - 1
ATS
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 2
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LOB
3 - 0
CAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
QRO
1 - 2
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 3
AME
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PUM
1 - 4
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
PAC
4 - 0
CAZ
52%
24%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |