CONCACAF Champions Cup . Semi-finals
Global 4-2
América vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1989 |
AME
2 - 1
TOL
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1988 |
AME
2 - 0
PUE
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1988 |
PUE
2 - 1
AME
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
AME
2 - 0
DEF
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
DEF
1 - 1
AME
34%
23%
43%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1988 |
DEF
0 - 2
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1988 |
OLI
2 - 0
DEF
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
LDA
0 - 1
OLI
59%
20%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1988 |
OLI
1 - 1
LDA
54%
21%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1986 |
OLI
2 - 0
AUR
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |