América vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
79.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2006 |
JEO
0 - 1
AME
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2006 |
AME
0 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 0
AME
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
AME
3 - 3
ATS
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
ATS
1 - 3
AME
43%
28%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
FCB
1 - 0
RSO
81%
13%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 0
BRE
74%
15%
11%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
LEV
1 - 1
FCB
13%
23%
64%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
FCB
4 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
10%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2006 |
LSO
0 - 2
FCB
17%
23%
60%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |