América SP vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
54%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+172%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
AME
70%
18%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 0
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
NOR
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
COM
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 1
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MON
0 - 3
SAN
27%
22%
51%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
SEP
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAN
24%
24%
51%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAN
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
CHA
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |