Série A round 25

América RN vs Sport Recife analysis

América RN Sport Recife
61 ELO 75
0.8% Tilt 5.6%
2307º General ELO ranking 155º
73º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
31.1%
América RN
28.8%
Draw
40.2%
Sport Recife

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
América RN
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40.1%
Win probability
Sport Recife
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América RN
+4%
+2%
Sport Recife

ELO progression

América RN
Sport Recife
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América RN
América RN
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2007
COR
Corinthians
1 - 0
América RN
ARN
67%
21%
12%
61 80 19 0
01 Sep. 2007
ARN
América RN
0 - 3
EC Juventude
JUV
29%
26%
45%
61 73 12 0
30 Aug. 2007
FFL
Figueirense
3 - 1
América RN
ARN
68%
20%
12%
62 79 17 -1
26 Aug. 2007
ARN
América RN
1 - 4
Santos FC
SAN
15%
22%
63%
62 87 25 0
19 Aug. 2007
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
América RN
ARN
73%
17%
10%
63 83 20 -1

Matches

Sport Recife
Sport Recife
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2007
SPO
Sport Recife
0 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
37%
26%
37%
75 81 6 0
01 Sep. 2007
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
62%
22%
16%
75 81 6 0
30 Aug. 2007
SPO
Sport Recife
2 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
38%
27%
35%
75 81 6 0
26 Aug. 2007
SPO
Sport Recife
0 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
30%
24%
46%
74 83 9 +1
18 Aug. 2007
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
67%
21%
12%
75 86 11 -1