América RN vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
COR
1 - 0
ARN
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 3
JUV
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
FFL
3 - 1
ARN
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 4
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
VAS
2 - 0
ARN
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 2
FLU
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
FLA
1 - 1
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 0
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 0
VAS
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPO
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |