América RN vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SDJ
3 - 0
ARN
24%
27%
50%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
ARN
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ARN
1 - 0
APA
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
APA
0 - 0
ARN
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SDJ
3 - 0
ARN
24%
27%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SDJ
0 - 0
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 3
SDJ
46%
25%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
SDJ
3 - 1
JEC
43%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 2
SDJ
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |