Série D Brazil Ronda final. Last 16
Global 5-2
América RN vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 2
ARN
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 1
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CEN
2 - 1
ARN
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 0
CAM
58%
22%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 1
ARN
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
MOT
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 0
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 0
TOC
76%
15%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 2
MOT
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 1
JCA
68%
18%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |