América RN vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
ARN
16%
24%
60%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
ARN
87%
10%
3%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 7
ARN
11%
22%
67%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
4 - 0
GLO
83%
13%
5%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ACD
0 - 1
ARN
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
AME
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 2
CRB
8%
19%
73%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
ATG
2 - 3
ITA
17%
22%
62%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 2
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
OSE
2 - 0
ITA
11%
21%
69%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -1 |