Série D Brazil Ronda final. 1/16
Global 3-1
América RN vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CEN
2 - 1
ARN
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 0
CAM
58%
22%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 1
ARN
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
ARN
4 - 2
CAU
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 2
ARN
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ITA
60%
24%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
3 - 1
ALA
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
ITA
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
4 - 1
ASA
50%
26%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 2
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |