América RN vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 3
ARN
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
4 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARN
26%
27%
48%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
GLO
0 - 2
ARN
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 1
FLO
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
CAM
4 - 1
GLO
39%
27%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 1
CAM
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 0
GLO
45%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
GLO
0 - 2
ARN
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |