América RN vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
ARN
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 0
ASA
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ARN
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 3
FFL
20%
25%
55%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 0
NAU
24%
23%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 1
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAH
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
POR
2 - 4
BAH
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 0
AMF
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 1
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |