América RN vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
66.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 1
ARN
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
GLO
0 - 0
ARN
33%
25%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
DOM
0 - 2
ARN
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 0
ASS
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 1
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 0
ATM
19%
25%
56%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
COI
0 - 2
CRZ
5%
14%
81%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 1
CRZ
16%
25%
59%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 0
TOM
69%
21%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
AMF
1 - 0
CRZ
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |