Série D Brazil Temporada Regular. Jor. 13

América RN vs Campinense analysis

América RN Campinense
48 ELO 47
5.7% Tilt -5.4%
2339º General ELO ranking 3514º
70º Country ELO ranking 116º
ELO win probability
58.2%
América RN
22.4%
Draw
19.4%
Campinense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
América RN
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.4%
Win probability
Campinense
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO progression

América RN
Campinense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América RN
América RN
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2021
ABC
ABC
3 - 1
América RN
ARN
54%
24%
22%
49 53 4 0
13 Aug. 2021
ARN
América RN
4 - 2
Caucaia EC
CAU
83%
12%
5%
48 30 18 +1
07 Aug. 2021
UNI
Atlético Cearense
0 - 2
América RN
ARN
40%
25%
35%
47 44 3 +1
31 Jul. 2021
ARN
América RN
2 - 2
Treze
TRE
60%
22%
18%
48 46 2 -1
24 Jul. 2021
SOU
Sousa
0 - 2
América RN
ARN
36%
26%
38%
47 44 3 +1

Matches

Campinense
Campinense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2021
CAM
Campinense
1 - 0
Sousa
SOU
56%
25%
19%
46 41 5 0
14 Aug. 2021
CAM
Campinense
2 - 1
Central SC
CEN
63%
22%
15%
46 36 10 0
08 Aug. 2021
TRE
Treze
0 - 0
Campinense
CAM
46%
27%
28%
46 46 0 0
31 Jul. 2021
CAM
Campinense
3 - 0
Atlético Cearense
UNI
38%
26%
36%
45 45 0 +1
24 Jul. 2021
ABC
ABC
2 - 0
Campinense
CAM
63%
22%
15%
45 53 8 0
X