América RN vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ARN
0 - 3
ABC
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
ARN
2 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
MEC
0 - 2
ARN
16%
20%
64%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
PEC
0 - 1
ARN
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 0
SGO
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 0
MEC
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 1
POT
69%
17%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
ABC
21%
22%
58%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 3
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |