América RN vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
47.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
FLA
3 - 0
ARN
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1980 |
PAL
4 - 1
ARN
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
ARN
1 - 1
DES
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
CEA
1 - 1
ARN
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
ARN
1 - 0
VNG
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
ATM
2 - 0
GUA
57%
25%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1980 |
DES
1 - 4
ATM
20%
28%
52%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
ATM
2 - 0
FLA
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
ATM
2 - 0
PAL
54%
26%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
FLU
2 - 3
ATM
47%
27%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |