América RN vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 0
ARN
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
ARN
5 - 0
ASS
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CCP
0 - 3
ARN
18%
22%
60%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ARN
2 - 2
BAR
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ARN
1 - 0
PAL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALE
0 - 1
CCP
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
ALE
1 - 0
POT
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
ALE
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
ALE
1 - 2
ASS
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ALE
2 - 1
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |