Potiguar . Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
América RN vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ALE
0 - 1
ARN
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
COR
1 - 2
ARN
27%
23%
49%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
ARN
0 - 0
SGO
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 0
ARN
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
ARN
1 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ALE
0 - 1
ARN
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ALE
2 - 1
MEC
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SGO
2 - 3
ALE
32%
24%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
ALE
2 - 1
ACD
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |