América RN vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
PEC
2 - 4
ARN
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
ARN
1 - 0
FER
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
FLU
4 - 1
ARN
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ARN
4 - 3
FLA
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
FER
4 - 0
ARN
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ALE
1 - 3
ABC
28%
24%
49%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1986 |
ALE
0 - 0
COM
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
PAL
3 - 0
ALE
86%
10%
4%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
ALE
1 - 1
VIT
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CSA
2 - 1
ALE
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |